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More about Market Timing

There has been talks about end year rally during the earlier parts of this year. Particularly in February to March period when the market was suffering from 'temporary' set back. During that time, even though the European Debt crisis were looming, the Asian economy was still booming. However, as the time passes, the European Debt crisis becomes more apparent. Countries were finding it more and more difficult to cover up. More facts emerge and picture became clearer. The earlier investor pull back and market began the down trend again.

In such time, we will invariably turn to tools that we think will help us to foresee such events. This is where macro economic theory comes in. However, for traders who are not well read on such topics, they want to use some thing faster and easier. Then, Technical Analysis comes into play. Using technology, TA can be very fast and handy.

Here is a classic example of using TA:

http://www.etfguide.com/research/705/8/The-Chart-That-Trumps-Analysts-Call-for-a-Year-End-Rally/

I have been sharing this link because I found this very useful. Nobody can predict the future. However, if we collect data across the masses, the extrapolation will become more reliable and more predictable. That's why I believe using TA to analyze S&P 500 is more accurate than individual stocks, especially less active counters.

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