You cannot make decision on information alone

I was watching the interview with Georege Soros by Google CEO and this sentence from George Soros and I was captured by this sentence. I think what he wanted to say was people don't make decision using information alone. When they make decisions, a lot of other things come in to interfere with the decision making. These things include emotions like fear, greed etc. Apart from that, people's anchoring causes them to be bias towards certain choices.

In trading, it is very important to make sure we make decisions based on facts instead of emotions or intuitions. It is important that we do not let our emotions blind us the facts in front of us.

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Spanish Debt Issues

There is a lot of talk about Spanish sovereign debts recently. I came across a research paper which I think is very useful for me and wish to share it here. This is taken from www.fundsupermart.com, an online fund broker where you can purchase funds form various fund managers. This portal provides some research and comparisons and it is essentially a self service portal. From the chart provided, we can see that there is a problem for Spain to service their debts for the next 4-5 years if the debts are not re-structured. With this kind of risk, no sane investors would want to risk their money to buy Spanish bonds. They can only turn to European central bank for bail out. The blue arrow is a fictitious line I draw assuming re-structuring is going to happen. Essentially, they have to move the payment of capitals into next 5-20 years to be affordable. In addition to that, they can't make additional loans. This is just taking a very simplistic view of the situation. To have that hap...

Always Do Your Own Analysis

I would like to share a great article that I had just read with all investors. Many gurus, seasoned investors always warn new investors to do their own analysis and research. Reading and referencing other people's work is fine, but, one must always know his own position and do complete analysis. As in the case of people who blindly follow Warren Buffett into Goldman Sachs and General Electrics in the 2008 crisis. Taken to Task: The Cult of Warren Buffett By Aaron Task | Daily Ticker – 9 hours ago Bank of America stock jumped over 9% Thursday on news that Warren Buffett is making a $5 billion investment in the bank. But, at $7.65, the stock closed more than a $1 below its high of the session and BofA shares were falling anew Friday morning, trading as low as $7.45 before stabilizing... ....... ....... ....... Moreover, investors who've followed Buffett into investments like Goldman Sachs and GE got burned, assuming they adhered to Buffett's dictum about ...

Think Like a Turtle Trader

Dos and Don’ts for Thinking Like a Turtle 1. Trade in the present : Do not dwell on the past or try to predict the future.The former is counterproductive, and the latter is impossible. 2. Think in terms of probabilities, not prediction : Instead of trying to be right by predicting the market, focus on methods in which the probabilities are in your favor for a successful outcome over the long run. 3. Take responsibility for your own trades : Don’t blame your mistakes and failures on others, the markets, your broker, and so forth.Take responsibility for your mistakes and learn from them.

Good Investing Lessons

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